YEAR | Iowa
DEMOCRAT | Iowa
REPUBLICAN | New Hampshire
DEMOCRAT | New Hampshire
REPUBLICAN | EVENTUAL
MATCHUP |
| Barack Obama (38%)
John Edwards (30%)
Hillary Clinton (29%)
Bill Richardson (2%)
Joe Biden (1%)
Chris Dodd (0%)
Mike Gravel (0%)
Dennis Kucinich (0%) | Mike Huckabee (34%)
Mitt Romney (25%)
Fred Thompson (13%)
John McCain (13%)
Ron Paul (10%)
Rudy Giuliani (3%)
Duncan Hunter (0%) | Hillary Clinton (39%)
Barack Obama (36%)
John Edwards (17%)
Bill Richardson (5%)
Dennis Kucinich (1%) | John McCain (37%)
Mitt Romney (32%)
Mike Huckabee (11%)
Rudy Giuliani (9%)
Ron Paul (8%)
Fred Thompson (1%)
Duncan Hunter (1%) | |
| John Kerry (38%), John Edwards (32%), Howard Dean (18%), Richard Gephardt (11%) and Dennis Kucinich (1%) | George W. Bush (unopposed) | John Kerry over Howard Dean, Wesley Clark, John Edwards, Joe Lieberman, Dennis Kucinich and Al Sharpton | George W. Bush | John Kerry (D)
George W. Bush (R) |
| Al Gore (63%), Bill Bradley (37%) | George W. Bush (41%), Steve Forbes (30%), Alan Keyes (14%), Gary Bauer (9%), John McCain (5%) and Orrin Hatch (1%) | Al Gore over Bill Bradley | John McCain over George W. Bush, Steve Forbes, Alan Keyes and Gary Bauer | Al Gore (D)
George W. Bush (R)
Ralph Nader (G) |
| Bill Clinton (unopposed) | Bob Dole (26%), Pat Buchanan (23%), Lamar Alexander (18%), Steve Forbes (10%), Phil Gramm (9%), Alan Keyes (7%), Richard Lugar (4%) and Morry Taylor (1%) | Bill Clinton | Pat Buchanan over Bob Dole, Lamar Alexander, Steve Forbes, Dick Lugar and Alan Keyes | Bill Clinton (D)
Bob Dole (R)
Ross Perot (Reform) |
| Tom Harkin (76%), "Uncommitted" (12%), Paul Tsongas (4%), Bill Clinton (3%), Bob Kerrey (2%) and Jerry Brown (2%) | George H. W. Bush (unopposed) | Paul Tsongas over Bill Clinton, Bob Kerrey, Tom Harkin, Jerry Brown and Larry Agran | George H. W. Bush over Pat Buchanan | Bill Clinton (D)
George H. W. Bush (R)
Ross Perot (-) |
| Richard Gephardt (31%), Paul Simon (27%), Michael Dukakis (22%) and Bruce Babbitt (6%) | Bob Dole (37%), Pat Robertson (25%), George H. W. Bush (19%), Jack Kemp (11%) and Pete DuPont (7%) | Michael Dukakis over Dick Gephardt, Paul Simon, Jesse Jackson and Al Gore | George H. W. Bush over Bob Dole, Jack Kemp, Pete du Pont and Pat Robertson | George H. W. Bush (R)
Michael Dukakis (D) |
| Walter Mondale (49%), Gary Hart (17%), George McGovern (10%), Alan Cranston (7%), John Glenn (4%), Reubin Askew (3%) and Jesse Jackson (2%) | Ronald Reagan (unopposed) | Gary Hart over Walter Mondale, John Glenn, Jesse Jackson and Al Gore | Ronald Reagan | Ronald Reagan (R)
Walter Mondale (D) |
| Jimmy Carter (59%), Ted Kennedy (31%) | George H. W. Bush (32%), Ronald Reagan (30%), Howard Baker (15%), John Connally (9%), Phil Crane (7%), John B. Anderson (4%) and Bob Dole (2%) | Jimmy Carter over Ted Kennedy and Jerry Brown | Ronald Reagan over George H. W. Bush, Howard Baker, John B. Anderson and Phil Crane | Ronald Reagan (R)
Jimmy Carter (D)
John B. Anderson (-) |
| "Uncommitted" (37%), Jimmy Carter (28%) Birch Bayh (13%), Fred R. Harris (10%), Morris Udall (6%), Sargent Shriver (3%) and Henry M. Jackson (1%) | Gerald Ford, Ronald Reagan | Jimmy Carter over Mo Udall, Birch Bayh, Fred R. Harris and Sargent Shriver | Gerald Ford over Ronald Reagan | Jimmy Carter (D)
Gerald Ford (R) |
| "Uncommitted" (36%) and Edmund Muskie (36%), George McGovern (23%), Hubert Humphrey (2%), Eugene McCarthy (1%), Shirley Chisholm (1%) and Henry M. Jackson (1%) | ~ | Edmund Muskie over George McGovern and Samuel William Yorty | Richard Nixon over Pete McCloskey and John M. Ashbrook | Richard Nixon (R)
George McGovern (D) |
| ~ | ~ | Lyndon B. Johnson over Eugene McCarthy | Richard Nixon over George W. Romney | Richard Nixon (R)
Hubert Humphrey (D)
George Wallace (I) |
| ~ | ~ | Lyndon B. Johnson | Henry Cabot Lodge, Jr. over Barry Goldwater, Nelson Rockefeller and Richard Nixon | Lyndon B. Johnson (D)
Barry Goldwater (R) |
| ~ | ~ | John F. Kennedy over Paul C. Fisher | Richard Nixon | John F. Kennedy (D)
Richard Nixon (R)
Harry F. Byrd (-) |
| ~ | ~ | Estes Kefauver over Adlai Stevenson | Dwight D. Eisenhower | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R)
Adlai Stevenson (D) |
| ~ | ~ | Estes Kefauver over Harry S. Truman | Dwight D. Eisenhower over Robert Taft and Harold Stassen | Dwight D. Eisenhower (R)
Adlai Stevenson (D) |
| ~ | ~ | Unpledged | Harold Stassen over Thomas Dewey | Harry S. Truman (D)
Thomas E. Dewey (R)
Strom Thurmond (Dixie)
Henry A. Wallace (P/L) |
| ~ | ~ | Unpledged | Unpledged | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)
Thomas E. Dewey (R) |
| ~ | ~ | Unpledged | Unpledged | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)
Wendell Willkie (R) |
| ~ | ~ | Unpledged | Unpledged | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)
Alf Landon (R)
William Lemke (U) |
| ~ | ~ | Unpledged | Unpledged | Franklin D. Roosevelt (D)
Herbert Hoover (R)
Norman Thomas (S) |
| ~ | ~ | Unpledged | Unpledged | Herbert Hoover (R)
Al Smith (D) |
| ~ | ~ | Unpledged | Calvin Coolidge | Calvin Coolidge (R)
John W. Davis (D)
Robert M. La Follette, Sr. (P) |
| ~ | ~ | Unpledged | Leonard Wood over Hiram Johnson | Warren G. Harding (R)
James M. Cox (D)
Eugene V. Debs (S) |
| ~ | ~ | Woodrow Wilson | Unpledged | Woodrow Wilson (D)
Charles Evans Hughes (R)
Allan L. Benson (S) |
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