It could be a late night tonight as Texas and Ohio are neck and neck on the Democratic side. Four states have primaries (/caucuses) today and here is the order in which the polls will close:
Vermont (15 delegates at stake) -- polls close at 7:00pm eastern time
Ohio (141 delegates are at stake) -- polls close at 7:30pm eastern time
Rhode Island (21 delegates are at stake) -- polls close at 9:00pm eastern time
Texas (193 delegates are at stake) -- all polls will be closed by 9:00pm eastern time. As soon as the polls close in an area, caucuses begin (126 delegates will ge allocated according to the primary results, 67 will be allocated according to the caucus results).
10 comments:
I predict Clinton will win Ohio, Rhode Island and Texas in popular votes. In delegates, Obama will win more in Texas. Obama will win Vermont.
Anyone else?
Clinton: Ohio, Rhode Island.
Obama: Texas, Vermont.
Voting in Texas has been incredibly heavy -- completely shattering previous records. Since Obama is the candidate who is bringing in the new voters, high turnout is likely to be to his advantage.
I agree with Alice's picks.
Obama will likely win Texas and Vermont.
I could somehow see him winning Ohio, too.
And, now that you mention it, Rhode Island. :)
I hope you both are right. If I am right, we will never hear the end of her :(
Some of my Texas friends say a lot of normally-GOP voters are crossing over to vote for Hillary, leading to high turnout for the Dem primary in strongly GOP counties. I personally suspect that a lot of it is really the increase of Dem-voting demographics in these counties (at least in the examples I'm hearing), but I'm pretty much winging it in that assessment.
I am always wrong with these, so please don't even bother reading my projections:
OH: C-51 O-48 Clinton +5 delegates
TX: C-48 O-52 in primary, and Obama +15 delegates including caucus
RI: C-55 O-45 Clinton +8 delegates
VT: C-40 O-59 Obama +9 delegates
Wash them off before you handle them - consider where they were pulled from.
As someone who doesn't own a TV, what's the best place on the web to look for results? TPM? Kos?
The caucuses should be starting here in TX soon - I wish I could be there (my registration - with addy change - didn't make it in time for me to vote). I'd love to see how those things shake out.
(I treated a patient today - she's voting for Ron Paul. Oh. My.)
The MSNBC and CNN websites have thorough coverage with constantly updated results. That's be where I'd start, anyway... maybe keep a couple of tabs open, to keep an eye on the blogs, too...
Wow, that was fast, Alice!
Yes, I'll try CNN first, TPM, and you! :)
~~Link~~
Change beats experience in exit polls in OH and TX
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