Let's check in with the campaigns real quick as they emerge from the holiday weekend. I'll list them in order of their Vegas odds:
[even] Hillary Clinton - Her biggest problem at this point is Bill. When he can manage to stay awake, he's being quite the bitch, party unity and the Clinton legacy be damned. He needs to tone down the frantic mud-slinging.
UPDATE: I'm not alone.
[5/2] Barack Obama - for his part, Obama is starting to get a little dirty himself, though he did get the best laugh at last night's debate. He did some work over the weekend to mend fences with the gay community, but for the most part, his back-and-forth with the Clintons (which one is the candidate?) has been a distraction. Hopefully both candidates will return to substantive topics soon.
[7/2] John McCain -- more and more, he is starting to look like the Republican party's front runner. If he beats Giuliani in Florida, he'll definitely become the guy to beat on Feb. 5th. He's not the establishment's top choice, but independents (and neocons?) love him. Will conservatives warm up? He's gotten the nod from D'Amato, who along with Fred himself, has abandoned the Thompson campaign.
[10/1] Mitt Romney -- the dimwitted establishment candidate -- who was (maybe) punk'd by his own kid -- keeps plugging along.
[12/1] Rudy Giuliani - well, 9iu11iani will always have 9/11. But New York City's pugilist is trailing in his home state and stuck in 6th everywhere else. That 12/1 is pretty generous. February 5th might indeed be Goodbye Rudy Tuesday.
[25/1] Mike Huckabee -- is having financial woes, so the press and his staff are on their own. In the meantime, his bestest buddy, Chuck Norris, thinks McCain is too old to be president. But the Ron Paul folks disagree. I think Huck's peaked, and it's just going to be downhill from here. Between that stupid theocracy slip and a hamfisted racist appeal in South Carolina, he's jumped the shark.
[75/1] John Edwards - is starting to seem like the reasonable Democrat as Obama and Clinton snipe at each other. He's picked up the support of Martin Luther King III. We'll see if he can pick up some speed in South Carolina.
[OFF] Ron Paul - He's got the most dedicated supporters in the race and has enjoyed a few good showings, but he's got his offensive side, is maybe a racist and maybe kind of nuts, and his numbers are falling, so the only question here is when does he go indie, and once he goes, will he draw more votes from the Dems or the Reps?
[OFF] Dennis Kucinich - Oh, this poor guy. Even his wife gets more press than he does. 'Nuff said.
3 comments:
Yep...Edwards is playing it smart by lettin' Hillary and Obama show their ugly sides up front. 75/1 ain't so bad, ya know ;)
Count me among the disheartened that things have deteriorated so. This can only be good for the Rs. Couldn't agree with you more about Bill. I've always always thought him charismatic, charming, and intelligent (though not always smart), but now he's losing favor even with this long time fan. I know it's a game of hardball, but don't B&H realize how shrill H sounds when on the attack?! And don't they realize that youtube is out there?! I had hoped that people would come to know and like H better before the general election, but now...I think her negatives have skyrocketed. I'm getting worried about an election that should have been a slam-dunk.
Other notes:
I'm hoping Dim-Mitt gets the R nomination. He'd be easier to beat than McCain, I think. McCain has the honor and service thing going for him and I think he'd get a lot of the Independent votes - especially if the Dems keep being ugly and appearing childish.
Have you not paid attention to Kucinich's wife? No wonder she gets most of the attention. I totally get it.
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